Emmen vs FC OSS Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward an Emmen win, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability and only a 10% away chance, so the advice of “Winner: Emmen” rests on a narrow edge rather than a clear separation. That tension is visible in the comparison metrics, where form is level at 50.00 apiece and head-to-head is also split 50.00–50.00, yet Emmen’s attack (59.00 vs 41.00), defence (35.00 vs 65.00), Poisson (86.00 vs 14.00) and goals (54.00 vs 46.00) all point the same way, producing a total score of 55.70 against 44.30. The team analysis supports that directional lean: Emmen have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7 with a three-game winning streak, while FC OSS have 2 wins and 5 losses, including a three-game losing run and no away wins from four attempts. Emmen’s scoring profile is also more reliable, averaging 2.40 goals per game with only one failure to score, whereas FC OSS average 1.10 and have been blanked twice, and their away scoring average of 0.50 is especially thin. Defensively the gap is starker still, as Emmen concede 2.40 per game overall but only 1.50 at home, while FC OSS concede 1.70 overall and 2.30 on the road, with 40% of their goals against arriving after the 76th minute. The last-five records qualify the headline form: Emmen have lost three of five, including a 4-0 defeat at VVV Venlo and a 1-3 loss at FC Eindhoven, so their recent run is not as smooth as the season-long numbers suggest. FC OSS are similarly inconsistent, beating Dordrecht 3-0 at home but losing all three away matches in that window, which reinforces the home-away split rather than a general upturn. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight, since the last meeting ended 4-0 to FC OSS in Oss and the ten-match sample is evenly divided, with Emmen winning only two of the last five league meetings. Overall, the evidence jointly supports a home-favouring prediction but not a comfortable one, because the level form and split head-to-head record keep the draw probability high and make the 10% away probability look like the least secure part of the model output.

Predicted winner

Emmen

Betting advice

Winner : Emmen

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. FC OSS 4–0 Emmen (17 Jan 2026)
2. Emmen 1–1 FC OSS (12 Sep 2025)
3. FC OSS 0–4 Emmen (21 Feb 2025)
4. Emmen 2–0 FC OSS (22 Oct 2024)
5. Emmen 0–1 FC OSS (11 Mar 2024)