EM Mahdia vs Kerkennah Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Kerkennah's 10% away share is the clear outlier.
- EM Mahdia's perfect recent form and superior attack and defence ratings support the home side, though both samples rest on a single league match.
- Kerkennah's head-to-head edge and 5-0 win show scoring potential, but their current losing form and away trip temper that threat.
- The teams' combined totals favor EM Mahdia modestly, reinforcing the draw-inclusive advice rather than a straight home win.
- Both sides' goal records suggest a low-scoring contest, which raises draw risk and explains why the model hedges with double chance.
- EM Mahdia's home loss to Kerkennah last season is the main counterweight, keeping the prediction short of outright home victory.
- Predicted winner
- EM Mahdia
- Betting advice
- Double chance : EM Mahdia or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | EM Mahdia | Kerkennah |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
EM Mahdia
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Kerkennah
Recent form: L.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- EM Mahdia 1–3 Kerkennah (11 May 2026)
- Kerkennah 1–0 EM Mahdia (13 Dec 2025)
- EM Mahdia 1–2 Kerkennah (26 Jan 2025)
- Kerkennah 1–3 EM Mahdia (14 Apr 2024)
- EM Mahdia 2–1 Kerkennah (12 Nov 2023)