EM Huanuni vs Deportivo FATIC Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives EM Huanuni a 45% home win probability and the draw the same 45%, leaving Deportivo FATIC only 10%, which is why the advice is a double chance on EM Huanuni or the draw rather than a straight home win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where EM Huanuni's form score of 52.00 and defensive score of 56.00 edge FATIC's 48.00 and 44.00, and the Poisson split of 71.00 to 29.00 is the most one-sided input, yet FATIC's superior attack score of 54.00 against 46.00 shows the visitors are not without threat. The head-to-head, goals and total metrics are all effectively neutral at 50.00 each, with only the aggregate total leaning slightly to EM Huanuni at 54.20 versus 45.80, so the model's edge rests mainly on venue and defensive solidity rather than on any historical dominance. Both teams arrive with three wins from five, but EM Huanuni's DWDWW includes no defeats and three clean sheets, while FATIC's DWLWW includes one loss and only two clean sheets, a small but meaningful difference in floor. EM Huanuni's goals analysis shows 11 scored at 2.20 per game and just four conceded at 0.80, with a 5-0 home win over Libertad and a 2-2 draw at FATIC among their last five, so their home matches have produced both heavy wins and a tighter 3-2 result. FATIC's goals analysis shows 13 scored at 2.60 per game but five conceded at 1.00, inflated by a 6-0 home win over Libertad and a 3-1 home win over Atletico Sucre, while their away form produced a 1-0 win at Libertad and a 2-1 loss at Atletico Sucre. The single head-to-head record, a 2-2 draw in August 2026, is too small a sample to separate the sides and is consistent with the model's equal 50.00 head-to-head split. Because the draw carries the same 45% as an EM Huanuni win, the double chance is a reasonable way to cover the most likely outcomes, though the 10% away probability and FATIC's stronger attack mean the advice is a qualified lean rather than a comfortable one.

Predicted winner

EM Huanuni

Betting advice

Double chance : EM Huanuni or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Deportivo FATIC 2–2 EM Huanuni (21 Aug 2026)