Ejea vs CD Sietamo Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Ejea, assigning a 45% home win probability and recommending a combo of an Ejea win with over 1.5 goals, though the identical 45% draw probability suggests the outright result is far from settled. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Ejea dominates on form (86 versus 14), defence (80 versus 20) and Poisson (79 versus 21), yet the head-to-head, goals and total-goals splits are all recorded at 0.00 for both sides, meaning those dimensions offer no separating signal at all. The team analysis supports the home lean more concretely: Ejea have won two of three (LWW, 2-1 at home and 0-2 away) while CD Sietamo are without a win in three (LLD), including a 5-2 away defeat and a 0-2 home loss. Ejea's goals profile is modest but balanced, averaging 1.30 scored and 0.70 conceded, with all four of their goals arriving before the 76th minute and both concessions falling in the 46-60 window, hinting at a side that starts well but can be vulnerable just after the break. CD Sietamo's numbers are far more volatile, averaging 1.00 scored but 2.70 conceded, with a 5.00 away goals-against average and eight goals shipped across three matches, which is the clearest statistical basis for the over 1.5 element of the advice. Their last-five records sharpen the contrast: Ejea's recent run is W-W-L with two clean-sheet-adjacent wins, whereas Sietamo's available three matches read D-L-L and include the heavy Cuarte defeat. The small samples involved — three league games each, and only three recent fixtures listed for Sietamo — mean these gaps should be treated as directional rather than decisive, especially since Ejea's own last five also contain a 1-5 loss and a draw from the previous campaign. The absence of any head-to-head history removes a potentially important qualifier, so the model's confidence rests almost entirely on current form, defensive solidity and Sietamo's leaky back line. On that evidence, the Ejea-and-over-1.5 combination looks internally consistent, but the unusually high draw probability and the thin samples keep it a plausible rather than a secure reading.

Predicted winner

Ejea

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Ejea and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.