Eintracht Hohkeppel vs Porz Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Eintracht Hohkeppel as the winner, yet its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability and only a 10% away share, so the advice is better read as a lean than a clear separation. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Hohkeppel leads on form (67 versus 33), attack (68 versus 32), defence (75 versus 25), Poisson (81 versus 19) and goals (64 versus 36), but the head-to-head split sits level at 50-50. Hohkeppel's own record supports the stronger side of that picture: four matches unbeaten with three wins and a draw, no defeats, two clean sheets and no failure to score, including a 7-0 away win and a 3-0 home win. Porz's form is far more mixed, with one win, two draws and one loss, and while they kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 home win over Bornheim, they also lost 2-0 away at Hürth and failed to score in that match. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast, as Hohkeppel average 3.30 goals scored and only 0.50 conceded, whereas Porz average 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, meaning Porz have both a weaker attack and a leakier defence across this small sample. Porz's away scoring is especially thin at 1.00 goal per game, and their 0-10 loss at Bergisch Gladbach in June, though outside the current league run, shows how heavily their away record can swing. The head-to-head record is the main counterweight, since all four meetings were won by the home side, including Porz's 4-2 and 3-2 home wins over Hohkeppel, which explains why the model cannot convert Hohkeppel's statistical edge into a larger win probability. With only four league matches played by each team and no goal-timing data available, the evidence points toward Hohkeppel being the more reliable side, but the level head-to-head split and the high draw probability mean the existing prediction should be treated as a modest lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner

Eintracht Hohkeppel

Betting advice

Winner : Eintracht Hohkeppel

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Eintracht Hohkeppel 5–1 Porz (12 Apr 2026)
2. Porz 4–2 Eintracht Hohkeppel (12 Oct 2025)
3. Eintracht Hohkeppel 5–0 Porz (24 Mar 2024)
4. Porz 3–2 Eintracht Hohkeppel (01 Oct 2023)