2. Division - Group 1 · Norway
Eik-Tønsberg vs Bjarg Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model output points to a Bjarg win, with probabilities of 0% home, 50% draw and 50% away, so the advice is best read as a lean rather than a decisive call. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Bjarg lead heavily on form (81.00 vs 19.00), attack (76.00 vs 24.00), defence (77.00 vs 23.00), Poisson (75.00 vs 25.00), head-to-head (100.00 vs 0.00) and goals (100.00 vs 0.00), yet the total splits only 77.30 to 22.80. The team analysis explains much of that gap: Eik-Tønsberg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 17 losses from 20, including 0 away wins and an eight-match losing streak, while Bjarg have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses with a more balanced 6 home and 6 away wins. Eik-Tønsberg's goals analysis shows 21 scored and 47 conceded (1.10 for and 2.40 against per game), with 28 of those concessions coming away from home, whereas Bjarg have scored 42 and conceded 26 (2.10 for and 1.30 against per game) and are notably stronger defensively on the road at 1.00 conceded per game. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Eik-Tønsberg have one win and four defeats, scoring five and conceding twelve, while Bjarg have four wins and one loss, scoring sixteen and conceding six, including a 6-1 win over Træff and a 4-0 win over Arendal. The head-to-head record is a single 2026 match in which Bjarg beat Eik-Tønsberg 2-0 at Stavollen kunstgress, so it supports the away lean but is too small a sample to carry much weight on its own. One qualification is that Bjarg's 1-4 home defeat to Bryne in their last five shows they are not immune to heavy losses, and Eik-Tønsberg's 2-0 win over Pors Grenland indicates they can occasionally keep a clean sheet. Overall, the evidence consistently favours Bjarg, but the 50% draw probability and the thin head-to-head sample mean the prediction should be treated as a directional lean rather than a certainty.
- Predicted winner
- Bjarg
- Betting advice
- Winner : Bjarg
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Eik-Tønsberg | Bjarg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 19.0% | 81.0% |
| Attack | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| Defence | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| Poisson | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 22.8% | 77.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Eik-Tønsberg
Recent form: LLLLLLLWLDLLLLLLLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Bjarg
Recent form: WWLWDLLWWWWLLWLDWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bjarg 2–0 Eik-Tønsberg (30 May 2026)


