Eidsvold vs Trygg/Lade Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output points to an Eidsvold win, with a 50% home probability, a 50% draw probability and a 0% away probability, so the advice is effectively a cautious lean rather than a decisive call. That caution is somewhat at odds with the comparison metrics, where Eidsvold lead heavily on form (87.00 to 13.00), attack (74.00 to 26.00), defence (75.00 to 25.00), Poisson (86.00 to 14.00), head-to-head (100.00 to 0.00) and goals (67.00 to 33.00), producing an overall 77.80 to 22.20 split. The team analysis supports that gap: Eidsvold have 15 wins, 3 draws and only 2 defeats from 20 matches, including 8 clean sheets, while Trygg/Lade have 2 wins, 3 draws and 15 defeats with no clean sheets at all. Eidsvold's scoring profile is also stronger, averaging 2.40 goals per game against 0.80 conceded, whereas Trygg/Lade average 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, meaning the same defensive average carries very different weight at each end. The last-five records reinforce the contrast, with Eidsvold taking three wins, a draw and a single loss, while Trygg/Lade have four defeats and one draw, including a 0-5 home loss to Molde and a 1-3 defeat at Tromsdalen Uil. The head-to-head record is the clearest single data point, as Eidsvold won 2-1 away at Trygg/Lade in July 2026, which helps explain the 100.00 to 0.00 head-to-head split but rests on only one match. A conflicting signal is that Eidsvold's most recent outing was a 2-3 home defeat to Kongsvinger, showing the form line is not flawless, while Trygg/Lade's 1-1 draw with Skeid is their only recent positive result. The goal-timing data adds nuance rather than changing the picture: Eidsvold score fairly evenly across the match but concede half of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, and Trygg/Lade both score and concede most heavily late, so the closing stages could be the least predictable part of the game. Overall, the evidence broadly supports the Eidsvold lean, but the 50% draw probability and the single-match head-to-head sample mean the existing prediction should be treated as a directional view rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Eidsvold

Betting advice

Winner : Eidsvold

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Trygg/Lade 1–2 Eidsvold (26 Jul 2026)