Eibar III vs Real Sociedad III Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% home win split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a near-even contest.
• Eibar III's perfect home record without defeat supports the home side of that double chance, though two home draws show the risk.
• Real Sociedad III's away form includes a loss and a draw, weakening their case despite superior attack and clean-sheet numbers.
• Head-to-head and Poisson metrics lean heavily toward Eibar III, but the 10% away probability still leaves a small upset path.
• Both teams scoring in nearly every match and neither keeping regular clean sheets points to goals, yet the advice avoids the under-over market.
• Identical recent form strings and matching draw counts suggest the draw component carries genuine weight rather than serving as filler.

Predicted winner

Eibar III

Betting advice

Double chance : Eibar III or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Real Sociedad III 1–1 Eibar III (18 Jan 2026)
2. Eibar III 2–1 Real Sociedad III (07 Sep 2025)