Eibar II vs Compostela Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output leans toward Eibar II in a double-chance combination with under 3.5 goals, assigning 50% to a home win and 50% to a draw while giving Compostela no chance at 0%, a split that already signals how narrow the distinction between the top two outcomes is. That advice is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Eibar II leads on form (60.00 vs 40.00), attack (67.00 vs 33.00), defence (60.00 vs 40.00) and overall total (62.30 vs 37.70), though the Poisson, head-to-head and goals columns all read 0.00 for both sides and therefore contribute no separating signal at all. The team analysis reinforces the home edge but also exposes its limits: Eibar II's LWW form across three matches includes two clean sheets and no failure to score, yet their only defeat came away to Real Oviedo II, while Compostela's LDW record shows a 2-0 home win over Sestao River offset by a 0-3 home loss to Marino de Luanco. The goals analysis sharpens the low-scoring case, since Eibar II have scored four goals at 1.30 per game while conceding only twice, and Compostela have managed just two goals at 0.70 per game while conceding three, with both teams staying under 2.5 goals in all three of their matches. Eibar II's goal timing is notably late-weighted, with 50% of their goals arriving in the 76-90 window, whereas Compostela's two goals came in the 76-90 and 91-105 windows, suggesting both sides may need patience before the scoreline opens up. The last-five records add a cautionary note about sample size and relevance, because Eibar II's sequence stretches back to May 2026 with a 3-2 win over Náxara and a 1-1 draw at Ejea, while Compostela's includes a July friendly 0-4 loss to Deportivo La Coruna that inflates their negative goal difference without reflecting league form. Compostela's defensive numbers are also split by venue, with a 0.00 goals-against average away against a 1.50 average at home, which qualifies the apparent weakness in their overall defensive profile. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical matchup evidence can either support or undermine the model's read on this fixture. Taken together, the evidence supports the double-chance and under-3.5 combination through Eibar II's superior form, attack and defence plus the low goal totals on both sides, but the 50-50 home-draw split, the zeroed Poisson and goals metrics, and the tiny three-match samples mean this should be treated as a tentative lean rather than a firm conclusion.

Predicted winner

Eibar II

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Eibar II or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.