Eendracht Aalst vs Zulte Waregem II Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Eendracht Aalst with a double-chance call of “Eendracht Aalst or draw,” assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for Zulte Waregem II, so the advice effectively treats the away side as a marginal threat. That caution is supported by the form comparison, where Aalst holds a 59-to-41 edge, and by the head-to-head series, which shows Aalst unbeaten across four meetings with two home wins, an away win at Zulte Waregem II, and a goalless draw. The defensive split reinforces the same direction, with Aalst rated 70 against Zulte Waregem II’s 30, and the goals data show Aalst conceding only 0.80 per game overall versus 1.80 for the visitors, though the away side’s attack rating of 57 against Aalst’s 43 suggests Zulte Waregem II can still create chances. Those chances appear heavily concentrated away from home, since Zulte Waregem II have scored 3.50 goals per away match and recorded a 6-1 win at VW Hamme, yet they have lost both home fixtures without a clean sheet and conceded three goals in each of their two home games. Aalst’s own record is steadier than explosive: four matches without defeat, three wins and one draw, two clean sheets, and no failure to score, with home scoring at 3.00 per game and away scoring at 1.50. The Poisson comparison is the clearest counterweight, rating Zulte Waregem II at 69 against Aalst’s 31, which conflicts with the form, defence, goals, and head-to-head evidence and helps explain why the model stops short of a straight home win. The last-five records add further nuance, as Aalst’s sequence of three wins, a draw, and a loss includes a 4-1 home defeat to Sporting Hasselt, while Zulte Waregem II’s two wins, one draw, and two losses include a 2-3 home defeat to RFC Wetteren and a 1-2 home loss to Rupel Boom. Because the samples are only four league matches for each side and the head-to-head meetings date from 2022 to 2024, the 45-45-10 split should be read as a cautious reflection of Aalst’s stronger baseline rather than a firm separation between the teams.

Predicted winner

Eendracht Aalst

Betting advice

Double chance : Eendracht Aalst or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Eendracht Aalst 1–0 Zulte Waregem II (09 Feb 2024)
2. Zulte Waregem II 0–0 Eendracht Aalst (13 Sep 2023)
3. Eendracht Aalst 1–0 Zulte Waregem II (26 Feb 2023)
4. Zulte Waregem II 1–0 Eendracht Aalst (04 Dec 2022)