Brazil · Gaúcho - 3

EC Novo Horizonte vs Real Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Real

EC Novo Horizonte badgeEC Novo Horizonte vs Real badgeReal

Match prediction

  • Real's unbeaten form and three clean sheets in four matches justify the model's 50% away win probability despite the draw carrying equal weight.
  • Novo Horizonte's winless home record with five goals conceded there sharply undercuts any home advantage, supporting the zero home probability.
  • Real's attack and defence comparison scores dwarf Novo Horizonte's, reinforcing the prediction's clear edge toward the away side.
  • The absence of head-to-head history means the model relies on current form and goal metrics, which consistently favour Real.
  • Novo Horizonte's tendency to concede late, with 80% of goals against after the 60th minute, suggests Real can capitalise as the match progresses.
  • Real's 2.8 goals-per-game average against Novo Horizonte's leaky home defence supports the winner advice, though the draw probability signals caution.
Predicted winner
Real
Betting advice
Winner : Real
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorEC Novo HorizonteReal
Form23.0%77.0%
Attack21.0%79.0%
Defence14.0%86.0%
Poisson4.0%96.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total15.5%84.5%

Team form and goal analysis

EC Novo Horizonte

Recent form: LWL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Real

Recent form: DWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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