Ebro vs Terrassa Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Terrassa a 45% win probability and the draw another 45%, leaving Ebro at just 10%, and its advice combines a draw-or-Terrassa double chance with under 3.5 goals. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Terrassa leads on form (64 versus 36), defence (100 versus 0), head-to-head (80 versus 20), goals (67 versus 33) and overall total (61 versus 39), although Ebro's higher attack score (67 versus 33) is a notable counterweight. The Poisson column is empty for both sides, so it neither reinforces nor undermines the probabilities and should be treated as unavailable. Terrassa's team analysis supports the defensive edge: a WDW sequence across three matches with two away wins, no defeats, three clean sheets and zero goals conceded, while Ebro's DWL record includes one home win, one away draw and one away loss with a single clean sheet. The goals analysis sharpens this contrast, as Terrassa have scored only twice in three games (0.70 per match) but conceded none, whereas Ebro have scored four (1.30 per match) yet conceded three, all of which came away from home. Ebro's goal timing is spread across the first hour, with two of their four goals in the 46-60 window, while Terrassa's only two goals both arrived in the 76-90 period, hinting at a possible late threat rather than sustained scoring. The last-five records qualify the headline form: Terrassa have won four of five, including 4-0 over Binéfar and three 1-0 victories, but Ebro's five include a 2-0 home win over Reddis, a 2-2 draw at Olot and three defeats, two of them without scoring. The head-to-head record is the clearest historical signal, with Terrassa winning both home meetings 1-0 and the two fixtures at Ebro ending 1-1, giving Terrassa two wins and two draws from four and never a defeat. Because all four head-to-head matches produced two goals or fewer, that record aligns well with the under 3.5 goals component of the advice, even though the small samples and Ebro's superior attack score mean the draw-or-Terrassa double chance remains a plausible but not certain reading.

Predicted winner

Terrassa

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Terrassa and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Terrassa 1–0 Ebro (22 Jan 2023)
2. Ebro 1–1 Terrassa (04 Sep 2022)
3. Ebro 1–1 Terrassa (03 Apr 2022)
4. Terrassa 1–0 Ebro (14 Nov 2021)