England · National League

Eastleigh vs Southend Prediction

· Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh badgeEastleigh vs Southend badgeSouthend

Match prediction

  • Southend's superior form, attack, and head-to-head metrics support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the win itself is far from certain.
  • Eastleigh's home record of three wins and no losses contrasts with their poor overall form, suggesting the venue may narrow the gap enough to justify covering the draw.
  • Southend's away scoring average of three goals per game and six-goal win at Gateshead underline the attacking edge, but their home loss to Barrow shows defensive vulnerability.
  • Eastleigh's goals-against average rises sharply away from home, yet their home defensive record is stronger, which tempers Southend's attacking projection.
  • Recent head-to-head results are mixed, with both teams winning at Silverlake Stadium, so the 80% away head-to-head metric may overstate Southend's dominance at this venue.
  • Southend's tendency to score late and Eastleigh's late concessions suggest goals are likely, but the advice focuses on the result rather than the total.
Predicted winner
Southend
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Southend
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorEastleighSouthend
Form29.0%71.0%
Attack24.0%76.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson35.0%65.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals29.0%71.0%
Total31.7%68.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Eastleigh

Recent form: WLWWDLDLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Southend

Recent form: WWWLDWDWWL.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Southend 4–1 Eastleigh (20 Jan 2026)
  2. Eastleigh 2–1 Southend (24 Sep 2025)
  3. Eastleigh 1–2 Southend (22 Mar 2025)
  4. Eastleigh 0–1 Southend (12 Oct 2024)
  5. Southend 2–0 Eastleigh (10 Sep 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…