Eastleigh vs Southend Prediction
· Silverlake Stadium
Match prediction
- Southend's superior form, attack, and head-to-head metrics support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the win itself is far from certain.
- Eastleigh's home record of three wins and no losses contrasts with their poor overall form, suggesting the venue may narrow the gap enough to justify covering the draw.
- Southend's away scoring average of three goals per game and six-goal win at Gateshead underline the attacking edge, but their home loss to Barrow shows defensive vulnerability.
- Eastleigh's goals-against average rises sharply away from home, yet their home defensive record is stronger, which tempers Southend's attacking projection.
- Recent head-to-head results are mixed, with both teams winning at Silverlake Stadium, so the 80% away head-to-head metric may overstate Southend's dominance at this venue.
- Southend's tendency to score late and Eastleigh's late concessions suggest goals are likely, but the advice focuses on the result rather than the total.
- Predicted winner
- Southend
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Southend
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Eastleigh | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Attack | 24.0% | 76.0% |
| Defence | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Poisson | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Total | 31.7% | 68.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Eastleigh
Recent form: WLWWDLDLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Southend
Recent form: WWWLDWDWWL.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Southend 4–1 Eastleigh (20 Jan 2026)
- Eastleigh 2–1 Southend (24 Sep 2025)
- Eastleigh 1–2 Southend (22 Mar 2025)
- Eastleigh 0–1 Southend (12 Oct 2024)
- Southend 2–0 Eastleigh (10 Sep 2024)


