Dvůr Králové vs Přepeře Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output names Přepeře as the winner, with a 50% away probability and a 50% draw probability leaving Dvůr Králové at 0%, so the advice is effectively a cautious lean rather than a decisive call. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Přepeře dominate form (79 versus 21), attack (84 versus 16), Poisson (80 versus 20), goals (75 versus 25) and total (76.4 versus 23.6), while Dvůr Králové hold only a modest 36-to-64 edge in defence. The team analysis reinforces this split: Dvůr Králové have 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from seven games with no away wins, whereas Přepeře have 6 wins and 1 loss, including 3 wins from 3 away fixtures. Přepeře's attacking output is heavily home-weighted, averaging 5.00 goals at home against 1.30 away, which qualifies the strength of the away-win advice even though their away defence is excellent at 0.30 conceded per game. Dvůr Králové's goals analysis shows a low-scoring profile, 1.10 goals for and 1.60 against per game, with no match exceeding 2.5 total goals for them, so the fixture shape may depend on whether Přepeře's away scoring holds up. The last-five records sharpen the contrast: Dvůr Králové have lost three straight, scoring once across those defeats, while Přepeře have won four of five, including 5-0 and 8-1 home wins and a 1-0 away victory. The head-to-head record is a single 2019 cup match, Přepeře 6-2 Dvůr Králové, which supports the direction of the advice but is far too small and old a sample to carry much weight. Overall, the evidence points the same way as the existing prediction, yet the 50% draw share and Přepeře's much weaker away scoring suggest the winner call should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Přepeře

Betting advice

Winner : Přepeře

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Přepeře 6–2 Dvůr Králové (14 Aug 2019)