3. Lig - Group 1 · Turkey
Düzcespor vs İnkılapspor Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model favours Düzcespor with a double chance covering a win or draw, assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for İnkılapspor, so the advice rests on a combined 90% probability that the visitors do not win. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Düzcespor's form score of 63.00 and defensive score of 73.00 dwarf İnkılapspor's 38.00 and 27.00, and the Poisson split of 100.00 to 0.00 is as one-sided as the model gets. The attack metrics, however, are level at 50.00 each, which tempers the picture: both sides have scored four goals across three matches, so the edge is built on prevention rather than penetration. Düzcespor's team analysis supports that reading, with an unbeaten DWD start, one clean sheet, no failures to score, and a 1-0 home win among two draws, while İnkılapspor's WLL record includes a 0-2 home loss and a 4-1 away defeat. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast, as Düzcespor concede 0.00 per home game and 1.00 overall, whereas İnkılapspor leak 2.70 per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet, with three of their eight concessions arriving after the 76th minute. Both teams' goal timings cluster in the middle and later phases, and Düzcespor's own scoring is concentrated between the 61st and 75th minute, suggesting the game may be decided after the interval rather than early. The last-five records broadly agree with the aggregate data, since Düzcespor's competitive run shows two draws and a win before older April results, while İnkılapspor's recent sequence is three straight losses before two earlier wins. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can either confirm or contradict the model's lean, and the goals comparison fields are also zeroed out, leaving the Poisson and form metrics to carry the argument. Overall, the evidence points toward a low-scoring, hard-to-lose profile for Düzcespor rather than a dominant attacking one, which is consistent with a double chance but leaves the draw probability doing as much work as the home win.
- Predicted winner
- Düzcespor
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Düzcespor or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Düzcespor | İnkılapspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Düzcespor
Recent form: DWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
İnkılapspor
Recent form: WLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


