Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein
Düren Merzenich vs TuS BW Königsdorf Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and away win probabilities evenly at 50%, so the draw-inclusive double chance is the safer expression of its lean.
- Königsdorf's four straight losses with 22 goals conceded justify the +1.5 goals leg, since their matches rarely stay low-scoring.
- Düren's modest form of one win in five qualifies the home edge, explaining why the model avoids a straight win recommendation.
- Head-to-head results favour Düren but both competitive meetings ended 2-0 to the home side, a pattern that could repeat for either team.
- Königsdorf scoring only three goals across four games suggests their attacking threat is limited, supporting Düren's defensive side of the double chance.
- Düren's away scoring average of two goals per game indicates they can contribute to the +1.5 goals threshold even without dominating.
- Predicted winner
- Düren Merzenich
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Düren Merzenich or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Düren Merzenich | TuS BW Königsdorf |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| H2h | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 66.4% | 33.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
Düren Merzenich
Recent form: LDWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
TuS BW Königsdorf
Recent form: LLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Düren Merzenich 2–0 TuS BW Königsdorf (22 May 2026)
- TuS BW Königsdorf 2–0 Düren Merzenich (30 Nov 2025)
- Düren Merzenich 4–1 TuS BW Königsdorf (18 Jul 2023)


