Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Düren Merzenich vs TuS BW Königsdorf Prediction

Düren Merzenich badgeDüren Merzenich vs TuS BW Königsdorf badgeTuS BW Königsdorf

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and away win probabilities evenly at 50%, so the draw-inclusive double chance is the safer expression of its lean.
  • Königsdorf's four straight losses with 22 goals conceded justify the +1.5 goals leg, since their matches rarely stay low-scoring.
  • Düren's modest form of one win in five qualifies the home edge, explaining why the model avoids a straight win recommendation.
  • Head-to-head results favour Düren but both competitive meetings ended 2-0 to the home side, a pattern that could repeat for either team.
  • Königsdorf scoring only three goals across four games suggests their attacking threat is limited, supporting Düren's defensive side of the double chance.
  • Düren's away scoring average of two goals per game indicates they can contribute to the +1.5 goals threshold even without dominating.
Predicted winner
Düren Merzenich
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Düren Merzenich or draw and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorDüren MerzenichTuS BW Königsdorf
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack70.0%30.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson61.0%39.0%
H2h67.0%33.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total66.4%33.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Düren Merzenich

Recent form: LDWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

TuS BW Königsdorf

Recent form: LLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Düren Merzenich 2–0 TuS BW Königsdorf (22 May 2026)
  2. TuS BW Königsdorf 2–0 Düren Merzenich (30 Nov 2025)
  3. Düren Merzenich 4–1 TuS BW Königsdorf (18 Jul 2023)
Loading interactive prediction…