Dunfermline vs Aberdeen Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, leaving Aberdeen only 10%, so the double-chance advice reflects a two-outcome cushion rather than a clear home edge.
- Dunfermline's defensive rating of 78 against Aberdeen's 22 is the strongest split, supporting the view that Aberdeen are unlikely to win outright.
- Aberdeen's attack rating of 55 exceeds Dunfermline's 45, a counterweight that explains why the model still assigns a meaningful draw probability.
- Both sides show identical 50% form and head-to-head splits, so the probabilities lean on defensive and goal metrics rather than recent momentum.
- Dunfermline's last five include three clean sheets and just two goals conceded, reinforcing the low-scoring, draw-tolerant profile behind the advice.
- Aberdeen's away form is mixed with two draws and a loss in five, consistent with the low 10% win probability assigned to them.
- Predicted winner
- Dunfermline
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Dunfermline or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Dunfermline | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Defence | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Dunfermline
Recent form: LWW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Aberdeen
Recent form: WLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Dunfermline 3–0 Aberdeen (07 Mar 2026)
- Aberdeen 3–0 Dunfermline (09 Feb 2025)
- Dunfermline 3–0 Aberdeen (28 Apr 2012)
- Aberdeen 1–0 Dunfermline (28 Jan 2012)
- Dunfermline 3–3 Aberdeen (26 Nov 2011)