Dundalk vs Bohemians Prediction
· Oriel Park
Match prediction
- Bohemians' superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all favour them, supporting the double-chance advice despite Dundalk hosting.
- The model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the win-or-draw combo is the safer expression of Bohemians' edge than backing them outright.
- Dundalk's weak home record of six wins against seven losses and a leaky defence undermines any home advantage at Oriel Park.
- Bohemians' eleven clean sheets and 1.20 goals-against average suggest a low-scoring risk, yet both teams' over-1.5 goal rates keep the goals leg plausible.
- Recent head-to-head results lean toward Bohemians, including a 3-1 win at Oriel Park, reinforcing their psychological and tactical edge.
- Dundalk's last five include heavy home defeats, so the draw-or-Bohemians combination sensibly hedges the main upset risk.
- Predicted winner
- Bohemians
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Bohemians and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Dundalk | Bohemians |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Total | 35.5% | 64.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Dundalk
Recent form: DDDLDWWDWWDWLLDLWDWWWLLLDDLLWDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Bohemians
Recent form: DWWWWWDDDDLLLDDWWWLWLLWWWDLWWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bohemians 1–2 Dundalk (19 Jun 2026)
- Dundalk 1–3 Bohemians (08 May 2026)
- Bohemians 1–1 Dundalk (20 Mar 2026)
- Dundalk 0–2 Bohemians (27 Sep 2024)
- Bohemians 1–1 Dundalk (26 Jul 2024)