Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic Prediction
· Dumbarton Football Stadium
Match prediction
- Dumbarton's home-only record of three wins from four, with two clean sheets, directly supports the home-or-draw advice.
- Forfar's away form is the decisive weakness: no wins, two draws, two losses, and a 2.50 away goals-against average.
- The model's 45-45 split between home and draw, with away at just 10, frames this as a two-outcome contest rather than a clear home win.
- Dumbarton's attack-versus-defence edge is reinforced by a 77-23 Poisson split, though that metric may overstate a modest form gap.
- Head-to-head is split 50-50 and includes recent draws and away wins, which tempers confidence in a straightforward Dumbarton victory.
- Both teams score and concede in similar total volumes, so the draw component of the double chance carries genuine weight.
- Predicted winner
- Dumbarton
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Dumbarton or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Dumbarton | Forfar Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Total | 59.7% | 40.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Dumbarton
Recent form: LWLLLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Forfar Athletic
Recent form: WDWLDLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Dumbarton 2–2 Forfar Athletic (28 Mar 2026)
- Forfar Athletic 2–0 Dumbarton (07 Feb 2026)
- Dumbarton 1–4 Forfar Athletic (22 Nov 2025)
- Forfar Athletic 2–3 Dumbarton (13 Sep 2025)
- Forfar Athletic 0–2 Dumbarton (06 Apr 2024)