3. liga - CFL A · Czech-Republic
Dukla Praha II vs Bohemians 1905 II Prediction
· Stadion FK Zbuzany
Match prediction
The existing model gives Dukla Praha II a 45% home win probability and the same 45% for a draw, leaving Bohemians 1905 II at just 10%, which is why the advice is a double chance on Dukla Praha II or the draw rather than a straight home win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where the two sides are level on form at 50.00, while Dukla Praha II's stronger defence (71.00 versus 29.00), Poisson (78.00 versus 22.00), head-to-head (71.00 versus 29.00) and goals (71.00 versus 29.00) scores all point the same way, even though Bohemians 1905 II holds the edge in attack at 60.00 versus 40.00. The overall totals of 63.50 for the home side and 36.50 for the away side therefore reflect a broadly home-leaning profile that is nonetheless softened by the unusually high draw probability. The team analysis adds nuance, as Dukla Praha II's record of one win, three draws and three losses from seven matches is modest, and their 1.00 goals-per-game average with 1.40 conceded suggests a low-scoring, tight team rather than a dominant one. Bohemians 1905 II show a more extreme split, with two home wins and a single draw but four away defeats, and their away goals-against average of 4.30, including a 7-2 loss at Příbram II, explains why their defensive comparison score is so low. The last-five records reinforce that contrast: Dukla Praha II have drawn three of five, including 0-0 at Příbram II and 1-1 with Admira Praha, while Bohemians 1905 II have won twice at home by 3-0 and 3-1 but lost all three away games, conceding four, seven and three goals. The head-to-head record is the most supportive strand for the prediction, since Dukla Praha II won the most recent meeting 2-1 at this venue and have won three of the last five encounters, with the other two being draws, although Bohemians 1905 II's 2-0 home win in March 2025 shows the fixture is not one-sided. Taken together, the evidence supports the double-chance advice more strongly than a home win, because Dukla Praha II's defensive solidity and head-to-head edge are offset by their habit of drawing and Bohemians 1905 II's capacity to score heavily when at home. The main qualification is that Bohemians 1905 II's away form is so poor that the 10% away win probability looks plausible, but the small seven-match sample and the 45% draw share mean the outcome remains genuinely uncertain rather than settled.
- Predicted winner
- Dukla Praha II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Dukla Praha II or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Dukla Praha II | Bohemians 1905 II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Poisson | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Dukla Praha II
Recent form: LLWDLDD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Bohemians 1905 II
Recent form: LDLWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Dukla Praha II 2–1 Bohemians 1905 II (27 Mar 2026)
- Bohemians 1905 II 1–1 Dukla Praha II (31 Aug 2025)
- Bohemians 1905 II 2–0 Dukla Praha II (31 Mar 2025)
- Dukla Praha II 4–0 Bohemians 1905 II (13 Oct 2024)
- Dukla Praha II 3–0 Bohemians 1905 II (24 Mar 2024)


