Dubrava Zagreb vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Dubrava Zagreb a 35% home win probability and a 35% draw probability against Bsk Bijelo Brdo's 30%, which is why the advice is a double chance on Dubrava or draw rather than a straight home win. That narrow edge is only partly echoed in the comparison metrics, where Dubrava leads on form (53.00 vs 47.00) and defence (60.00 vs 40.00), but trails on attack (45.00 vs 55.00), Poisson (45.00 vs 55.00), goals (44.00 vs 56.00), total (47.50 vs 52.50) and head-to-head (38.00 vs 62.00). The head-to-head split is the most awkward evidence for the advice, since Bsk's 62.00 rating reflects a recent 2-1 win at this same SRC Pescenica venue in April 2026, even though Dubrava won the September 2025 meeting there 1-0 and the November 2025 return finished 0-0. Dubrava's six-match record of two wins, two draws and two losses, with both away clean sheets and no home clean sheets, suggests a team that is harder to break down on the road than at home, which complicates a home-oriented double chance. Bsk's six-match record of three wins, one draw and two losses, with two home clean sheets but none away, points to a similar home-away split in the opposite direction, and their last five show three wins, one draw and one loss against Dubrava's two wins, two draws and one loss. The goals analysis adds a further qualification: both teams have scored six and conceded six across six matches, yet Dubrava's goals are split evenly home and away while Bsk's seven goals lean toward away matches, and neither side has seen a match go over 2.5 goals. Late goals are a shared theme, with Dubrava scoring 42.86% of their goals in the 76-90 window and Bsk scoring 37.50% there, while Bsk also concede 40% of their goals in that same late period. Overall, the double chance looks like a cautious hedge that leans on Dubrava's superior form and defensive rating, but it is qualified by Bsk's stronger attacking, Poisson, goals and head-to-head numbers, and by the small six-match samples behind all of these splits.

Predicted winner

Dubrava Zagreb

Betting advice

Double chance : Dubrava Zagreb or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Dubrava Zagreb 1–2 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (07 Apr 2026)
2. Bsk Bijelo Brdo 0–0 Dubrava Zagreb (29 Nov 2025)
3. Dubrava Zagreb 1–0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo (17 Sep 2025)
4. Bsk Bijelo Brdo 2–1 Dubrava Zagreb (30 May 2025)
5. Bsk Bijelo Brdo 1–1 Dubrava Zagreb (09 Nov 2024)