Russia · Second League - Group 1
Druzhba vs Izberbash Prediction
· Adygeyskiy Respublikanskiy Stadion Druzhba
Match prediction
- Druzhba's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics support the home-winner advice, though the 45% draw probability signals only a modest edge.
- Izberbash's away record of two wins, no draws and ten defeats, with 3.20 goals conceded per away game, materially weakens their resistance.
- Druzhba's home scoring peaks late, with 36.67% of goals after the 76th minute, suggesting the winner may only be secured late.
- Izberbash's away attack averages just 0.60 goals and failed to score in six away matches, limiting their capacity to convert chances.
- The head-to-head is split 50-50 across two meetings, both 2-1 home wins, so recent form rather than history justifies the advice.
- Druzhba's last five show three wins and one draw, while Izberbash's two draws and two losses indicate the visitors' form remains fragile.
- Predicted winner
- Druzhba
- Betting advice
- Winner : Druzhba
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Druzhba | Izberbash |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Druzhba
Recent form: LWDLWDLWWDWWWLDLLDDLWWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Izberbash
Recent form: WLLLWLLWLLLWWLLWLLLLLLWDD.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Druzhba 2–1 Izberbash (26 Aug 2026)
- Izberbash 2–1 Druzhba (28 Mar 2026)