Bosnia · 1st League - RS

Drina Zvornik vs Kozara Gradiška Prediction

Drina Zvornik badgeDrina Zvornik vs Kozara Gradiška badgeKozara Gradiška

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even three-way split, with home and draw each at 35%, directly supports the double-chance advice rather than a straight home win.
  • Drina's superior attack and Poisson ratings outweigh Kozara's better form, justifying the lean toward the home side despite recent results.
  • Kozara's head-to-head edge and stronger form are real counterweights, so the draw component of the double chance meaningfully hedges that risk.
  • Both teams' goal data show almost every match staying under 3.5, reinforcing the low-scoring half of the combined advice.
  • Kozara's away scoring average of 0.30 and three away blanks suggest a low-scoring away performance, supporting the under 3.5 goals selection.
  • Drina's home defensive record, conceding only twice across three home games, further supports the expectation of a tight, low-scoring contest.
Predicted winner
Drina Zvornik
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Drina Zvornik or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorDrina ZvornikKozara Gradiška
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson84.0%16.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Drina Zvornik

Recent form: LDWWDLWD.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Kozara Gradiška

Recent form: WDDWLWDW.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Drina Zvornik 1–1 Kozara Gradiška (09 May 2026)
  2. Kozara Gradiška 1–0 Drina Zvornik (11 Apr 2026)
  3. Drina Zvornik 0–1 Kozara Gradiška (11 Oct 2025)
  4. Drina Zvornik 4–1 Kozara Gradiška (15 Mar 2025)
  5. Kozara Gradiška 2–1 Drina Zvornik (24 Aug 2024)
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