Slovenia · 2. SNL

Dravinja vs Slovan Ljubljana Prediction

Dravinja badgeDravinja vs Slovan Ljubljana badgeSlovan Ljubljana

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favourite reflects genuine uncertainty.
  • Dravinja's superior attack and head-to-head metrics support their side of the double chance, but their poor recent form and weak defence temper that edge.
  • Slovan's stronger form and away defensive vulnerability create a conflict: they concede heavily on the road yet arrive with better momentum.
  • Slovan's away record shows three losses and three goals scored in four games, undermining their 10% win probability despite superior overall form.
  • Dravinja's home scoring average of 1.70 contrasts with Slovan's away defensive average of 3.00, supporting home goals but not necessarily a win.
  • Head-to-head results show alternating winners with narrow margins, reinforcing the draw component of the double chance rather than a decisive home victory.
Predicted winner
Dravinja
Betting advice
Double chance : Dravinja or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorDravinjaSlovan Ljubljana
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack70.0%30.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson59.0%41.0%
H2h75.0%25.0%
Goals63.0%38.0%
Total56.5%43.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Dravinja

Recent form: LLLLDLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Slovan Ljubljana

Recent form: LWWWLDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Dravinja 2–1 Slovan Ljubljana (19 Apr 2026)
  2. Slovan Ljubljana 0–1 Dravinja (03 Oct 2025)
  3. Slovan Ljubljana 2–1 Dravinja (05 Apr 2025)
  4. Dravinja 1–0 Slovan Ljubljana (22 Sep 2024)
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