Ligue 1 · Burkina-Faso

Douanes vs Sporting Cascades Prediction

· Stade Demba Diop

Douanes badgeDouanes vs Sporting Cascades badgeSporting Cascades

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Douanes with a win-or-draw call and a combined under-2.5-goals angle, yet its own probabilities are nearly flat at 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, so the advice rests on a thin edge rather than a clear separation. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where the form, attack, defence and Poisson columns are all zeroed out and therefore carry no usable signal, leaving the head-to-head split of 64% to 36% and the goals split of 67% to 33% as the main quantitative supports for Douanes. The team analysis, however, is built on a single match per side: Douanes lost 1-0 away to FocuSport and failed to score, while Sporting Cascades drew 0-0 at home with CFFEB, keeping a clean sheet but also failing to score. Those one-game samples explain the contradictory form readings of 0.00 for Douanes and 100.00 for Sporting Cascades, and they should be treated as noise rather than a reliable trend. The goals analysis points the same low-scoring way, since both teams average 0.00 goals scored, Douanes concede 1.00 per game with that goal arriving in the 76-90 minute window, and every under line from 0.5 to 4.5 is satisfied for both sides. The last-five records qualify this further: Douanes have one win, one draw and three defeats with only five goals scored across those matches, while Sporting Cascades have one win and three draws plus a 4-2 loss, a mixed but generally tighter profile. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight to a simple Douanes read, because the last six meetings produced four draws, one Douanes win and one Sporting Cascades win, with five of those six matches finishing under 2.5 goals and three ending 0-0. Taken together, the evidence supports the double-chance and under-2.5 combination mainly through the historically draw-heavy, low-scoring head-to-head and the near-empty goal outputs, while the flat probabilities and negligible sample sizes mean this should be read as a marginal, uncertain lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner
Douanes
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Douanes or draw and -2.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
-2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorDouanesSporting Cascades
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack0.0%0.0%
Defence0.0%100.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h64.0%36.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total65.5%34.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Douanes

Recent form: L.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Sporting Cascades

Recent form: D.

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Douanes 0–0 Sporting Cascades (10 Mar 2026)
  2. Sporting Cascades 0–1 Douanes (15 Nov 2025)
  3. Douanes 1–1 Sporting Cascades (17 May 2025)
  4. Sporting Cascades 0–0 Douanes (05 Oct 2024)
  5. Sporting Cascades 0–0 Douanes (06 Jun 2024)
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