Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast
Dorostol vs Fratria II Prediction
Match prediction
- The model gives Dorostol and the draw equal 35% shares, so double chance is the coherent expression of a genuinely three-way contest rather than a confident home pick.
- Fratria II's stronger recent form score conflicts with its away record of five goals conceded per game, undercutting the reliability of that form signal.
- Dorostol's head-to-head edge and superior goal share support avoiding an away win, even though their own form is winless and low-scoring.
- Both sides concede heavily and rarely keep clean sheets, so the draw component of the advice carries real weight alongside the home side.
- Fratria II's away defeats include a nine-goal loss, suggesting their away numbers are volatile and may overstate how competitive this fixture is.
- With Dorostol failing to score in three of five and Fratria II scoring little away, the probabilities stay compressed and justify the cautious double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Dorostol
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Dorostol or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Dorostol | Fratria II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Dorostol
Recent form: LLLLD.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Fratria II
Recent form: LLLLDLW.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Dorostol 0–1 Fratria II (07 Mar 2026)
- Fratria II 0–1 Dorostol (30 Aug 2025)
- Fratria II 1–3 Dorostol (23 Mar 2025)
- Dorostol 4–1 Fratria II (15 Sep 2024)


