Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast

Dorostol vs Fratria II Prediction

Dorostol badgeDorostol vs Fratria II badgeFratria II

Match prediction

  • The model gives Dorostol and the draw equal 35% shares, so double chance is the coherent expression of a genuinely three-way contest rather than a confident home pick.
  • Fratria II's stronger recent form score conflicts with its away record of five goals conceded per game, undercutting the reliability of that form signal.
  • Dorostol's head-to-head edge and superior goal share support avoiding an away win, even though their own form is winless and low-scoring.
  • Both sides concede heavily and rarely keep clean sheets, so the draw component of the advice carries real weight alongside the home side.
  • Fratria II's away defeats include a nine-goal loss, suggesting their away numbers are volatile and may overstate how competitive this fixture is.
  • With Dorostol failing to score in three of five and Fratria II scoring little away, the probabilities stay compressed and justify the cautious double chance.
Predicted winner
Dorostol
Betting advice
Double chance : Dorostol or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorDorostolFratria II
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h75.0%25.0%
Goals73.0%27.0%
Total52.8%47.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Dorostol

Recent form: LLLLD.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Fratria II

Recent form: LLLLDLW.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Dorostol 0–1 Fratria II (07 Mar 2026)
  2. Fratria II 0–1 Dorostol (30 Aug 2025)
  3. Fratria II 1–3 Dorostol (23 Mar 2025)
  4. Dorostol 4–1 Fratria II (15 Sep 2024)
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