England · FA Cup

Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham Town Prediction

Dorking Wanderers badgeDorking Wanderers vs Chatham Town badgeChatham Town

Match prediction

  • Chatham Town's perfect defensive record and two away wins justify favouring them, though the model's split 45-45 probabilities show the draw is equally likely.
  • Dorking's attack scores heavily but concedes at the same rate, so their matches tend toward high totals rather than controlled wins.
  • Chatham's clean sheets came against weaker opposition, while Dorking's recent games all produced three or more goals, supporting the over 2.5 selection.
  • The double chance covering draw or Chatham Town aligns with the model's near-equal probabilities and Chatham's stronger form.
  • Dorking's home form includes a 5-4 win and 4-3 victory, evidence their matches are volatile and unlikely to stay low-scoring.
  • With no head-to-head history and only two fixtures played each, the model's confidence rests on small samples, so the draw component of the advice is prudent.
Predicted winner
Chatham Town
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Chatham Town and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorDorking WanderersChatham Town
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence0.0%100.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total49.0%51.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Dorking Wanderers

Recent form: DW.

Average goals scored: 3.50 per match.

Chatham Town

Recent form: WW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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