Djurgården W vs AIK W Prediction
· Stockholms Olympiastadion
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since AIK's 10% away share is the clear outlier.
- AIK's stronger recent form and attack contrast with Djurgarden's superior defence and Poisson edge, explaining why the model avoids a straight home win.
- Djurgarden's home record includes only two wins from nine, so the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
- Head-to-head favours Djurgarden overall, yet AIK won the most recent meeting 3-0, tempering confidence in a home victory.
- Both sides' goal profiles lean heavily under 2.5, supporting a low-scoring match where the draw remains plausible.
- AIK's away form is markedly weaker than its home form, which helps reconcile the model's caution despite AIK's better overall form.
- Predicted winner
- Djurgården W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Djurgården W or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Djurgården W | AIK W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Poisson | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| H2h | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Djurgården W
Recent form: WLDLLLWDLLLLWWDWLLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
AIK W
Recent form: WWLDWDWDWLWLWLLLDWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- AIK W 3–0 Djurgården W (13 Jun 2026)
- AIK W 0–1 Djurgården W (23 Aug 2025)
- Djurgården W 4–0 AIK W (20 May 2025)
- AIK W 1–1 Djurgården W (12 Oct 2024)
- Djurgården W 2–0 AIK W (08 Jun 2024)