Diósgyőr II vs DEAC Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives DEAC a 45% win probability and Diósgyőr II only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or DEAC rather than a straight away win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where DEAC leads on attack (56 vs 44), Poisson (62 vs 38), head-to-head (62 vs 38) and goals (71 vs 29), yet Diósgyőr II surprisingly edges the form reading 53 to 47 despite the model's overall lean. The team analysis explains part of that tension: Diósgyőr II have five wins, two draws and one loss from eight, including a four-match winning streak, while DEAC have three wins, four draws and one loss, so the hosts' better results are offset by DEAC's greater attacking output and the model's heavier weighting of scoring and historical factors. Diósgyőr II's goals analysis shows a genuinely potent home attack of 3.00 goals per game and 2.50 overall, with 20 goals scored and only eight conceded, which is a real threat to the away side's clean-sheet hopes. DEAC's goals profile is more modest at 1.50 scored and 1.30 conceded per game, but their away scoring of 1.80 per game and a 50% share of goals in the 76-90 minute window suggest they can punish late fatigue. The last-five records qualify both sides: Diósgyőr II have three wins and two draws, including a 3-1 away win at Füzesabony and a 0-0 home draw with Debrecen II, while DEAC's sequence includes a 4-0 home win over Hajdúnánás but also a 7-0 home defeat to Ferencvárosi TC, a result that makes their defensive numbers look fragile. The head-to-head record is the strongest single argument for the existing advice, since DEAC won the most recent meeting 5-0 at home and have won four of the last ten encounters, with Diósgyőr II winning three and two drawn, although the 2-2 draw in August 2025 and the 0-0 in April 2024 show this fixture can also be tight. Overall, the evidence supports a draw-or-DEAC position rather than a confident away win, because DEAC's superior attack, Poisson and head-to-head scores are counterbalanced by Diósgyőr II's stronger recent form and prolific home scoring, leaving the 45% draw probability as a meaningful hedge.

Predicted winner

DEAC

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or DEAC

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. DEAC 5–0 Diósgyőr II (22 Mar 2026)
2. Diósgyőr II 2–2 DEAC (31 Aug 2025)
3. DEAC 2–0 Diósgyőr II (25 May 2025)
4. Diósgyőr II 2–1 DEAC (10 Nov 2024)
5. DEAC 0–0 Diósgyőr II (14 Apr 2024)