Russia · Second League - Group 2

Dinamo Vologda vs Dinamo St. Petersburg Prediction

· Dinamo

Dinamo Vologda badgeDinamo Vologda vs Dinamo St. Petersburg badgeDinamo St. Petersburg

Match prediction

  • The model's 50% away win probability with 0% home win reflects a clear quality gap, though the equally large draw share signals real uncertainty.
  • St. Petersburg's superior form, attack, defence, and Poisson ratings all point the same direction, reinforcing the away-winner advice.
  • Vologda's 27 goals scored against 28 conceded shows a leaky, low-output profile that undermines any home resistance.
  • St. Petersburg's 0.60 goals-against average and 13 clean sheets indicate a defensive floor Vologda's 1.20 scoring rate may struggle to breach.
  • Head-to-head is mixed, with Vologda winning home meetings, so the 71% h2h away edge should be treated cautiously rather than decisive.
  • St. Petersburg's recent away form, including a six-goal win, supports the pick, but Vologda's last-five win shows the fixture is not automatic.
Predicted winner
Dinamo St. Petersburg
Betting advice
Winner : Dinamo St. Petersburg
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorDinamo VologdaDinamo St. Petersburg
Form29.0%71.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson23.0%77.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals36.0%64.0%
Total30.5%69.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Dinamo Vologda

Recent form: LWWDLLLWWDLLDWLDDLLLDW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Dinamo St. Petersburg

Recent form: DWWWWLWWWWWWDDLDWDDWLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Dinamo St. Petersburg 1–1 Dinamo Vologda (27 Aug 2026)
  2. Dinamo St. Petersburg 1–0 Dinamo Vologda (13 Jun 2026)
  3. Dinamo Vologda 1–0 Dinamo St. Petersburg (20 Aug 2025)
  4. Dinamo Vologda 1–2 Dinamo St. Petersburg (22 Sep 2024)
  5. Dinamo St. Petersburg 3–1 Dinamo Vologda (08 Jun 2024)
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