Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast
Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the home side carries only a 10% win probability.
- Ustrem Donchevo's attack rating of 67 against Devnya's defence of 54 supports the away side's edge despite Ustrem's winless form.
- Ustrem's six losses in seven matches and zero clean sheets conflict with the favourable probabilities, so the draw component of the advice is well-placed insurance.
- Both teams' defensive records, with Ustrem conceding 3.4 goals per game and Devnya 2.2, make the +1.5 goals component strongly supported.
- Devnya's modest 0.8 goals scored per game and three scoreless outings suggest their low win probability is justified rather than an anomaly.
- The empty head-to-head record means the prediction rests on current form and goal data, which is why the advice hedges across draw and away outcomes.
- Predicted winner
- Ustrem Donchevo
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Ustrem Donchevo and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Devnya 2005 | Ustrem Donchevo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Poisson | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Devnya 2005
Recent form: WLLLDL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Ustrem Donchevo
Recent form: LLLLLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


