Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast

Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo Prediction

Devnya 2005 badgeDevnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo badgeUstrem Donchevo

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the home side carries only a 10% win probability.
  • Ustrem Donchevo's attack rating of 67 against Devnya's defence of 54 supports the away side's edge despite Ustrem's winless form.
  • Ustrem's six losses in seven matches and zero clean sheets conflict with the favourable probabilities, so the draw component of the advice is well-placed insurance.
  • Both teams' defensive records, with Ustrem conceding 3.4 goals per game and Devnya 2.2, make the +1.5 goals component strongly supported.
  • Devnya's modest 0.8 goals scored per game and three scoreless outings suggest their low win probability is justified rather than an anomaly.
  • The empty head-to-head record means the prediction rests on current form and goal data, which is why the advice hedges across draw and away outcomes.
Predicted winner
Ustrem Donchevo
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Ustrem Donchevo and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorDevnya 2005Ustrem Donchevo
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total47.3%52.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Devnya 2005

Recent form: WLLLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Ustrem Donchevo

Recent form: LLLLLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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