Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion Prediction
· Keyworth Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Birmingham's 10% win share is the clear outlier.
- Detroit's 86 defensive rating against Birmingham's 86 attack rating suggests the hosts can absorb pressure, supporting the draw half of the advice.
- Birmingham's 86 attack rating against Detroit's 14 defence rating is the strongest counterweight, explaining why a home win alone was not advised.
- Detroit's home record of eight wins and one loss in thirteen, with eight clean sheets, materially strengthens the case for avoiding defeat.
- Birmingham's away form is weak, with one win and zero away clean sheets, which supports the draw-or-home framing despite their scoring threat.
- Head-to-head favours Detroit at 62%, and recent meetings include draws, reinforcing the double chance rather than a straight home win.
- Predicted winner
- Detroit City
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Detroit City or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Detroit City | Birmingham Legion |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 14.0% | 86.0% |
| Defence | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| Poisson | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Detroit City
Recent form: WLWDWLWLWDLDWWWLDWDWDDLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Birmingham Legion
Recent form: LDLDWDWDLDLDDLDLWLLLDDDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Birmingham Legion 1–2 Detroit City (03 Jul 2026)
- Birmingham Legion 1–1 Detroit City (18 May 2025)
- Detroit City 2–2 Birmingham Legion (22 Mar 2025)
- Birmingham Legion 0–1 Detroit City (17 Aug 2024)
- Detroit City 1–2 Birmingham Legion (27 Jun 2024)