Derthona vs Alessandria Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since Alessandria's 10% away share is minimal.
• Derthona's unbeaten five-match form, including three clean sheets, supports the draw-inclusive advice despite Alessandria's superior win count.
• Alessandria's attack rating of 60 against Derthona's defence of 70 suggests the visitors can score, keeping a draw plausible.
• Derthona's defence concedes only 0.60 goals per game, while Alessandria's away defence leaks 2.50, tilting the edge toward the hosts.
• Alessandria's sole loss was a 4-1 away defeat, exposing vulnerability on the road that reinforces avoiding an away-only selection.
• The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests on current form and Poisson estimates, where Derthona holds a 73 to 27 advantage.

Predicted winner

Derthona

Betting advice

Double chance : Derthona or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.