Premier League · Mongolia

Deren vs Amtat FC Prediction

Deren badgeDeren vs Amtat FC badgeAmtat FC

Match prediction

The existing model favors Deren as the winner with a 50% home probability and a 50% draw probability, leaving Amtat FC at 0%, so the advice is effectively a cautious lean rather than a decisive edge. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Deren leads on form (70 versus 30), attack (78 versus 22), defence (92 versus 8) and total (80 versus 20), but the Poisson, head-to-head and goals columns all read 0.00 for both sides, meaning those components contribute no separating signal. Deren's team analysis reinforces the lean: a WDW sequence across three matches with two away wins, one draw, no defeats, two clean sheets and a 0-5 away win, though the small sample and the single home fixture without a goal temper how much weight this can carry. Amtat FC's LWL record over three matches is more volatile, with one away win but two home defeats, no clean sheets and a 0-9 home loss that stands out as the most extreme result in the evidence. The goals analysis sharpens that contrast, as Deren have scored seven goals at 2.30 per match while conceding just one at 0.30, whereas Amtat have scored two at 0.70 per match and conceded twelve at 4.00, including 5.50 per home match. Deren's scoring is concentrated between the 31st and 45th minutes, with four of seven goals in that window, while their only conceded goal arrived in the 16-30 band, suggesting a side that scores in bursts but has rarely been tested defensively. Amtat's concession pattern is spread across the match, with four goals against in the opening 15 minutes and three each in the 46-60 and 76-90 windows, which points to persistent defensive vulnerability rather than a single lapse. The last-five records extend the picture: Deren have four wins and a draw with 13 goals scored and three conceded, while Amtat's available three matches show two defeats and a win with two scored and twelve conceded, so the form gap is real but rests on a short and uneven sample. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical matchup evidence can either confirm or undercut the model's lean toward Deren, and the 50% draw probability alongside a 0% away probability suggests the model sees this as a two-outcome contest in which Deren's advantages are clear but not overwhelming.

Predicted winner
Deren
Betting advice
Winner : Deren
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorDerenAmtat FC
Form70.0%30.0%
Attack78.0%22.0%
Defence92.0%8.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total80.0%20.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Deren

Recent form: WDW.

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Amtat FC

Recent form: LWL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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