Deportivo Tigres vs CD IN San Juan FC Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives CD IN San Juan FC a double-chance edge of draw or away win, with home, draw, and away probabilities of 10%, 45%, and 45%, so the advice rests on the away side avoiding defeat rather than on a clear away superiority. That caution is echoed by the comparison metrics, where form (56 vs 44), attack (55 vs 45), and Poisson (56 vs 44) all lean toward San Juan, yet defence is level at 50 and the overall totals are close at 54.30 versus 45.80. The head-to-head, goals, and total splits are far more extreme, showing 100% in San Juan's favour against 0% for Deportivo Tigres, but these rest on a single meeting, a 1-0 home win for San Juan on 22 August 2026, so they should be treated as a small-sample signal rather than a durable pattern. Deportivo Tigres' last five (LDDWW) show a slow recovery, with two away wins of 4-0 and 3-1 followed by two home draws, and their goals analysis reflects that balance: 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded per game, with only two of five matches going over 2.5 goals. San Juan's last five (WDWWL) look stronger on paper, with three wins including 5-0 and 2-0 home victories, but their away form is the qualification: both away matches produced no wins, a 1-1 draw and a 3-2 loss, and their goals analysis shows 2.20 scored but 0.80 conceded overall, split between 2.70 at home and 1.50 away. The defensive numbers sharpen the contrast, since San Juan kept three clean sheets, all at home, and conceded 2.00 per away game, while Deportivo Tigres conceded only 0.70 per game and never more than one goal in any of their last five. The one direct meeting ended 1-0 to San Juan at home, which supports the head-to-head and goals splits but also shows the margin was narrow, consistent with the model's 45% draw probability rather than a decisive away win. Because the venue for this fixture is not listed and the goal-timing breakdowns are empty, the evidence cannot confirm whether San Juan's home strength or Deportivo Tigres' away resilience will be the more relevant condition. Overall, the double chance looks reasonably supported by form, attack, Poisson, and the single head-to-head result, but the level defence rating, San Juan's winless away record, and Deportivo Tigres' low concession rate mean the draw component carries much of the weight.

Predicted winner

CD IN San Juan FC

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or CD IN San Juan FC

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. CD IN San Juan FC 1–0 Deportivo Tigres (22 Aug 2026)