Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC Prediction

Match prediction

• The model gives Deportivo Pasto and the draw equal 45% shares, leaving Fortaleza only 10%, so the double-chance advice reflects near-total exclusion of an away win.
• Pasto's stronger form and head-to-head edge support the home side, yet Fortaleza's superior attack rating shows the visitors can still threaten.
• Fortaleza's away record without a single win this season reinforces the low away probability, though their many draws explain why the draw carries equal weight.
• Both teams' totals sit near 1.2 goals per game, and neither has exceeded 2.5 goals in a match, so the advice sensibly avoids any over/under call.
• Pasto's defensive rating clearly outranks Fortaleza's, but Fortaleza's attack rating is the highest single metric, a conflict that keeps the draw probability elevated.
• Recent form favors Pasto, yet Fortaleza's last five include three draws, matching the model's view that a stalemate is as likely as a home win.

Predicted winner

Deportivo Pasto

Betting advice

Double chance : Deportivo Pasto or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Fortaleza FC 1–2 Deportivo Pasto (25 Mar 2026)
2. Fortaleza FC 2–0 Deportivo Pasto (25 Oct 2025)
3. Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Fortaleza FC (04 May 2025)
4. Fortaleza FC 0–0 Deportivo Pasto (15 Sep 2024)
5. Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Fortaleza FC (05 Mar 2024)