Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Deportivo La Coruña II avoiding defeat, with a 35% home win and 35% draw against a 30% away win, and its advice combines that double chance with over 1.5 goals. That caution is not fully mirrored in the comparison metrics, where Real Unión hold the better form score (58 versus 42), a much stronger attack rating (71 versus 29) and a superior Poisson value (52 versus 48), while Deportivo's clearest edge is defensive (62 versus 38). The overall totals are close, 45.30 to 54.80, which suggests the model sees a relatively balanced contest rather than a clear home advantage. Deportivo's four-match record of one win, two draws and one loss, with five goals scored and five conceded, fits a low-margin profile, and their failure to score in only one game supports the idea that they can contribute to the +1.5 goals condition. Real Unión's four games produced two wins, one draw and one loss with twelve goals scored and eight conceded, a far more open profile that both strengthens the attacking case for goals and weakens the case for a comfortable home result. The last-five records reinforce that contrast: Deportivo have drawn three of five, including 2-2 at Athletic Club II and 2-2 at Atlético Astorga, while Real Unión have scored four in two separate wins but also lost 3-2 at Racing Ferrol and drawn 2-2 with Mirandes. The goals analysis adds nuance, as Deportivo have stayed under 2.5 goals in all four matches, whereas Real Unión have gone over 2.5 in two of four and over 1.5 in all four, making the over 1.5 element plausible but not overwhelming. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can either support or undermine the prediction, and the goals comparison fields are also zero, leaving the judgement to rest on form, team and last-five data. On balance, the probabilities and the defensive metric justify the double-chance advice, but Real Unión's stronger form and attack mean the home side's protection is modest rather than secure.

Predicted winner

Deportivo La Coruña II

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Deportivo La Coruña II or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.