Deportivo Cali W vs Santa Fe W Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Deportivo Cali W avoiding defeat, with a 45% home win and 45% draw against only 10% for Santa Fe W, so the double-chance advice reflects a fixture where the away side is given little standalone chance. That view is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Deportivo Cali W leads on form (56 vs 44), attack (53 vs 47), defence (64 vs 36), Poisson (60 vs 40), head-to-head (85 vs 15), goals (75 vs 25) and total (65.5 vs 34.5), although the defensive and head-to-head gaps are far wider than the modest form and attack edges. The team records support a quality difference, as Deportivo Cali W have 18 wins, only 3 defeats and 13 clean sheets from 25 matches, while Santa Fe W have 11 wins, 6 defeats and 9 clean sheets, though Santa Fe's 8 draws hint at a capacity to keep games close. Deportivo Cali W's goals analysis is notably strong at the back, conceding just 15 goals at 0.60 per game and only 2 goals in 25 matches when the 1.5 against line is considered, whereas Santa Fe W concede 26 at 1.00 per game and have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches. In attack the gap narrows, with Deportivo Cali W averaging 1.90 goals per game against Santa Fe W's 1.60, and Santa Fe W actually scoring more at home (23) than away (17), which slightly qualifies the one-sided defensive picture. The last-five records show Deportivo Cali W with three wins, a draw and a loss, including a 3-2 away win at Santa Fe W on 24 September and a 4-0 home win over Atlético Nacional W, while Santa Fe W have two wins, two draws and one loss, so recent form is competitive rather than dominant. The head-to-head record is the strongest single support for the advice, with Deportivo Cali W winning 3-0 at this venue on 30 August and 2-1 and 1-0 in earlier home meetings, plus a 0-0 draw and a 3-2 away win in the most recent two encounters. However, the same head-to-head also contains Santa Fe W wins, including 1-0 in September 2025 and 2-0 in August 2024, and two draws, so the 85-15 head-to-head split may overstate a rivalry that has often been tight. Overall, the probabilities, comparison metrics, defensive numbers and recent head-to-head results align to make a Deportivo Cali W win or draw the more plausible outcome, but the narrow attacking margins, Santa Fe W's draw habit and their occasional wins in this fixture mean the 10% away probability looks like the least secure part of the model.

Predicted winner

Deportivo Cali W

Betting advice

Double chance : Deportivo Cali W or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Santa Fe W 2–3 Deportivo Cali W (24 Sep 2026)
2. Santa Fe W 0–0 Deportivo Cali W (09 Sep 2026)
3. Deportivo Cali W 3–0 Santa Fe W (30 Aug 2026)
4. Santa Fe W 1–1 Deportivo Cali W (23 Mar 2026)
5. Deportivo Cali W 1–0 Santa Fe W (22 Sep 2025)