Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction

Match prediction

• The model rates home and draw equally at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
• Cali's defensive score of 82 against Alianza's 18 is the strongest split, supporting the low away win probability of 10%.
• Cali's home record of eight wins and one loss in fifteen contrasts sharply with Alianza's three away wins, reinforcing home-or-draw coverage.
• Alianza's head-to-head score of 60 exceeds Cali's 40, a conflicting signal that justifies the draw leg rather than a straight home win.
• Cali's recent form of three wins in five, including two clean sheets, supports the home side but not enough to override the draw probability.
• Alianza's 48 goals conceded and 1.60 average against indicate a leaky defence, yet their 67 goals score suggests both teams can score.

Predicted winner

Deportivo Cali

Betting advice

Double chance : Deportivo Cali or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Deportivo Cali 1–0 Alianza Valledupar (21 May 2026)
2. Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Deportivo Cali (22 Mar 2026)
3. Deportivo Cali 0–1 Alianza Valledupar (29 Oct 2025)
4. Alianza Valledupar 2–0 Deportivo Cali (11 May 2025)
5. Deportivo Cali 1–0 Alianza Valledupar (23 Jul 2024)