Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Deportivo Alavés III vs Sodupe Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, explains why the double chance covers two of the three likeliest outcomes.
- Sodupe's superior form and away clean sheets qualify the home lean, since their defensive record travels better than Alavés III's.
- Alavés III's attack-versus-defence edge is offset by Sodupe's away resilience, keeping the win-or-draw advice plausible but not commanding.
- Both teams' goal totals stay under 3.5 in every recorded match, directly supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Alavés III's home scoring and Sodupe's away blank against Amurrio suggest a low-scoring contest rather than a decisive home win.
- The empty head-to-head record means the prediction rests on recent form and goal trends, which are modest samples of four matches each.
- Predicted winner
- Deportivo Alavés III
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Deportivo Alavés III or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Deportivo Alavés III | Sodupe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Deportivo Alavés III
Recent form: DWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Sodupe
Recent form: WDDL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


