Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Deportivo Alavés III vs Sodupe Prediction

Deportivo Alavés III badgeDeportivo Alavés III vs Sodupe badgeSodupe

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, explains why the double chance covers two of the three likeliest outcomes.
  • Sodupe's superior form and away clean sheets qualify the home lean, since their defensive record travels better than Alavés III's.
  • Alavés III's attack-versus-defence edge is offset by Sodupe's away resilience, keeping the win-or-draw advice plausible but not commanding.
  • Both teams' goal totals stay under 3.5 in every recorded match, directly supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Alavés III's home scoring and Sodupe's away blank against Amurrio suggest a low-scoring contest rather than a decisive home win.
  • The empty head-to-head record means the prediction rests on recent form and goal trends, which are modest samples of four matches each.
Predicted winner
Deportivo Alavés III
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Deportivo Alavés III or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorDeportivo Alavés IIISodupe
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total51.7%48.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Deportivo Alavés III

Recent form: DWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Sodupe

Recent form: WDDL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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