Deportes Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt Prediction
· Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the away side carries only a 10% chance.
- Copiapo's superior attack, form, and Poisson ratings align with the home-favouring prediction, though the equal win and draw probabilities signal genuine uncertainty.
- Puerto Montt's stronger away defence and higher clean-sheet count qualify the home edge, helping explain why a draw is rated as likely as a home win.
- Copiapo's mixed recent form, including a heavy home defeat, tempers confidence in an outright home victory and supports covering the draw.
- The head-to-head record favours Copiapo overall, but Puerto Montt won the most recent meeting, adding caution to the home-side lean.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles and Puerto Montt's weak away attack suggest a tight contest, reinforcing the draw component of the advice.
- Predicted winner
- Deportes Copiapo
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Deportes Copiapo or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Deportes Copiapo | D. Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Poisson | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| H2h | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Deportes Copiapo
Recent form: LWDDWDLLLWWLWDWDWDLWLLLDW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
D. Puerto Montt
Recent form: WWWWLLDWLWWLLLDWWDLDLLWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- D. Puerto Montt 2–0 Deportes Copiapo (23 Feb 2026)
- Deportes Copiapo 4–0 D. Puerto Montt (20 Nov 2022)
- D. Puerto Montt 3–0 Deportes Copiapo (16 Nov 2022)
- D. Puerto Montt 0–1 Deportes Copiapo (26 Oct 2022)
- Deportes Copiapo 5–0 D. Puerto Montt (21 May 2022)