Colombia · Primera B

Depor FC vs Real Cartagena Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Real Cartagena

Depor FC badgeDepor FC vs Real Cartagena badgeReal Cartagena

Match prediction

  • Real Cartagena's 45% win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double chance, leaving Depor FC only a 10% chance despite home advantage.
  • Depor FC's weak home record of one win in thirteen contrasts with Real Cartagena's stronger away form, supporting the away-leaning advice.
  • Real Cartagena's superior attack, defence, and Poisson metrics outweigh Depor FC's slightly better recent form, reinforcing the model's preference.
  • Head-to-head history heavily favours Real Cartagena, though Depor FC's occasional away wins show the fixture is not entirely one-sided.
  • Both teams' low-scoring profiles and Depor FC's frequent failures to score suggest a tight match, which supports covering the draw.
  • Real Cartagena's recent draws and loss indicate inconsistency, so the draw component of the double chance remains a necessary safeguard.
Predicted winner
Real Cartagena
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Real Cartagena
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorDepor FCReal Cartagena
Form55.0%45.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson26.0%74.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals13.0%87.0%
Total36.2%63.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Depor FC

Recent form: DLDLLDLDDLWDLLLLDDLWWWWLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Real Cartagena

Recent form: WWDWWLDWDDWDWLLDWWLWWLDWDLWWLWLDDL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Real Cartagena 4–1 Depor FC (13 Feb 2026)
  2. Real Cartagena 4–0 Depor FC (06 Oct 2025)
  3. Depor FC 1–2 Real Cartagena (25 Apr 2025)
  4. Real Cartagena 1–0 Depor FC (12 Sep 2024)
  5. Depor FC 0–2 Real Cartagena (04 Apr 2024)
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