Denmark vs Portugal Prediction
Match prediction
- Portugal's superior form, defensive record, and head-to-head edge justify the model's lean toward them, though the draw carries equal probability.
- Denmark's attack outperforms Portugal's, but their weak defence and home loss to Norway undermine any home-win case.
- Portugal's two narrow wins and low scoring rate suggest the double chance is safer than backing them outright.
- Denmark's clean sheet against Wales shows home resilience, supporting the draw half of the advice despite their poor overall form.
- The head-to-head split and Portugal's recent loss to Spain indicate this fixture is closer than the away probability alone implies.
- Both teams' recent matches produced few goals, reinforcing caution about the outright winner while the draw-or-Portugal advice holds.
- Predicted winner
- Portugal
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Portugal
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Denmark | Portugal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Goals | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Total | 37.2% | 62.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Denmark
Recent form: LW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Portugal
Recent form: WW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Portugal 5–2 Denmark (23 Mar 2025)
- Denmark 1–0 Portugal (20 Mar 2025)
- Denmark 2–3 Portugal (13 Jun 2012)