Denmark U21 vs Belarus U21 Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's existing output names Denmark U21 as the winner, but its own probabilities are split evenly at 45% home and 45% draw, with Belarus U21 at 10%; that gap between a nominal winner and a coin-flip home/draw split suggests the advice rests on Denmark avoiding defeat rather than on a clear edge in the outright market.
• The comparison metrics lean heavily toward Denmark across form (77 vs 23), attack (75 vs 25), Poisson (96 vs 4), head-to-head (100 vs 0) and goals (100 vs 0), and the aggregate total (75.8 vs 24.3) reflects that; however, defence is the one near-even category (55 vs 45), which is consistent with the draw probability being as high as the home win.
• Denmark's last five (WDLWW) include a 4-0 home win over Wales U21 and a 1-0 away win in Belarus, plus draws with USA U21 and Austria U21 and a 2-0 loss in Belgium; this is a broadly positive but not flawless record, and the two draws hint at the stalemate risk the 45% draw probability captures.
• Belarus's last five (DLWLLLL) show three straight defeats to Belgium, Austria and Wales before two wins over Kazakhstan, and their team analysis over seven matches is 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses; the recent wins are a small-sample uptick against weaker opposition, so they qualify rather than overturn the weak form score of 23.
• Denmark's goals analysis shows 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded per game, with 12 goals spread across the 16-90 range and only one failed-to-score match, while Belarus average 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded and have failed to score in 3 of 7; the attacking contrast supports the home side, though Belarus's 1.00 goals-for average and Denmark's 55 defence score suggest the away side is not entirely without a route to goal.
• The head-to-head record is a single match, Denmark's 1-0 away win in Belarus in November 2025, which explains the 100-0 h2h split but is too small a sample to be decisive; it aligns with Denmark's overall edge while the even home/draw probabilities and Belarus's two recent Kazakhstan wins keep the outcome less certain than the winner label implies.

Predicted winner

Denmark U21

Betting advice

Winner : Denmark U21

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Belarus U21 0–1 Denmark U21 (18 Nov 2025)