Denbigh Town vs Holyhead Hotspur Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win probability matches the draw exactly, so the Denbigh advice reflects marginal preference rather than clear separation.
- Denbigh's superior form, attack, and Poisson scores support the pick, yet the identical 45% draw probability signals the model sees real stalemate risk.
- Holyhead's away form is stronger than their home record, and their only win came on the road, slightly undermining a comfortable Denbigh victory.
- Both sides concede heavily in the 46-75 minute window, suggesting goals are likely even if the winner remains uncertain.
- Head-to-head and goals comparisons are perfectly split at 50-50, which tempers the home-side metrics and explains why the draw carries equal weight.
- Denbigh's 80% form score contrasts sharply with Holyhead's 20%, the strongest single argument behind the existing winner advice.
- Predicted winner
- Denbigh Town
- Betting advice
- Winner : Denbigh Town
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Denbigh Town | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Attack | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 62.2% | 37.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Denbigh Town
Recent form: WLLLDLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Holyhead Hotspur
Recent form: WLLLDLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Denbigh Town 1–1 Holyhead Hotspur (31 Mar 2026)
- Holyhead Hotspur 3–2 Denbigh Town (01 Nov 2025)
- Denbigh Town 4–3 Holyhead Hotspur (07 Oct 2017)