Den Bosch vs Dordrecht Prediction
· De Vliert
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% Dordrecht split reflects genuine uncertainty, so the double chance correctly hedges rather than backing an outright away win.
- Dordrecht's superior attack and defensive ratings align with the away-leaning probabilities, though Den Bosch's stronger Poisson share signals the model sees a closer contest.
- Both teams sit on identical recent form and neither has kept a clean sheet, supporting the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
- Head-to-head history heavily favours Dordrecht and produces high-scoring meetings, reinforcing both the double chance and the goals expectation.
- Den Bosch's home wins contrast with Dordrecht's winless away record, a conflict that justifies the draw protection within the combo advice.
- Dordrecht's leaky defence and Den Bosch's consistent scoring at home make a low-scoring outcome unlikely, qualifying the goals element.
- Predicted winner
- Dordrecht
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Dordrecht and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Den Bosch | Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Poisson | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| H2h | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Goals | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Total | 42.7% | 57.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Den Bosch
Recent form: DLWLLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Dordrecht
Recent form: WDLLLLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Dordrecht 3–2 Den Bosch (23 Jan 2026)
- Den Bosch 3–3 Dordrecht (12 Sep 2025)
- Dordrecht 4–0 Den Bosch (12 Apr 2025)
- Den Bosch 2–3 Dordrecht (01 Dec 2024)
- Den Bosch 0–3 Dordrecht (29 Mar 2024)


