Netherlands · Eerste Divisie

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht Prediction

· De Vliert

Den Bosch badgeDen Bosch vs Dordrecht badgeDordrecht

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% Dordrecht split reflects genuine uncertainty, so the double chance correctly hedges rather than backing an outright away win.
  • Dordrecht's superior attack and defensive ratings align with the away-leaning probabilities, though Den Bosch's stronger Poisson share signals the model sees a closer contest.
  • Both teams sit on identical recent form and neither has kept a clean sheet, supporting the +1.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Head-to-head history heavily favours Dordrecht and produces high-scoring meetings, reinforcing both the double chance and the goals expectation.
  • Den Bosch's home wins contrast with Dordrecht's winless away record, a conflict that justifies the draw protection within the combo advice.
  • Dordrecht's leaky defence and Den Bosch's consistent scoring at home make a low-scoring outcome unlikely, qualifying the goals element.
Predicted winner
Dordrecht
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Dordrecht and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorDen BoschDordrecht
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence63.0%37.0%
Poisson73.0%27.0%
H2h7.0%93.0%
Goals30.0%70.0%
Total42.7%57.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Den Bosch

Recent form: DLWLLLWL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Dordrecht

Recent form: WDLLLLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Dordrecht 3–2 Den Bosch (23 Jan 2026)
  2. Den Bosch 3–3 Dordrecht (12 Sep 2025)
  3. Dordrecht 4–0 Den Bosch (12 Apr 2025)
  4. Den Bosch 2–3 Dordrecht (01 Dec 2024)
  5. Den Bosch 0–3 Dordrecht (29 Mar 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…