Ecuador · Copa Ecuador

Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

· Estadio Jocay

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC badgeDelfin SC vs Independiente del Valle badgeIndependiente del Valle

Match prediction

  • The model gives Independiente del Valle and the draw identical 45% probabilities, which explains why the safer double-chance advice is preferred over backing the away win alone.
  • Both teams arrive on identical three-match winning runs with matching 50% form and attack scores, so recent form offers no clear separation between them.
  • Head-to-head history tilts toward Independiente del Valle at 62%, and their away wins at Estadio Jocay show they can handle this venue.
  • Delfin's home form is the weak point: their last five include home defeats and draws, supporting the low 10% home win probability.
  • Both attacks have scored in every recent match while both defences concede rarely, pointing to a tight contest rather than a high-scoring one.
  • Independiente del Valle's away scoring average of 2.00 goals per game slightly outpaces Delfin's overall 1.70, marginally strengthening the away side's edge.
Predicted winner
Independiente del Valle
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Independiente del Valle
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorDelfin SCIndependiente del Valle
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence0.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h38.0%62.0%
Goals45.0%55.0%
Total45.8%54.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Delfin SC

Recent form: WWW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Independiente del Valle

Recent form: WWW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Independiente del Valle 3–2 Delfin SC (15 Aug 2026)
  2. Delfin SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle (22 Apr 2026)
  3. Independiente del Valle 0–0 Delfin SC (28 Sep 2025)
  4. Delfin SC 1–1 Independiente del Valle (31 May 2025)
  5. Independiente del Valle 1–2 Delfin SC (03 Aug 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…