Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores Glew vs Uribelarrea Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Defensores Glew's superior goal difference, driven by 2.4 scored and 0.5 conceded per game, supports their inclusion despite the modest 51.2 total rating.
- Uribelarrea's attack rating of 53 exceeds Defensores Glew's 47, which explains why the model cannot commit to an outright home win.
- Both teams enter with identical 50% form, and their recent head-to-head ended goalless, reinforcing the draw's prominence in the prediction.
- Defensores Glew's away defensive record of seven clean sheets and only two goals conceded suggests a resilient side unlikely to lose.
- Uribelarrea's tendency to draw seven of nineteen matches, combined with a missed penalty, points to a low-margin contest favoring the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Defensores Glew
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Defensores Glew or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Defensores Glew | Uribelarrea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Defensores Glew
Recent form: WLLDWWDWWWWWWWWDD.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Uribelarrea
Recent form: DWLWDWWLDWLDDWWWDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Uribelarrea 0–0 Defensores Glew (29 Sep 2026)


