NB III - Northeast · Hungary

Debrecen II vs Tiszafuredi VSE Prediction

Debrecen II badgeDebrecen II vs Tiszafuredi VSE badgeTiszafuredi VSE

Current score: Debrecen II 3–1 Tiszafuredi VSE (Second Half)

Match prediction

The existing model gives Tiszafuredi VSE a 45% win probability and Debrecen II only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, which is why the advice is a double chance on draw or Tiszafuredi VSE rather than a straight away win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Tiszafuredi lead on form (56 vs 44), defence (71 vs 29), head-to-head (71 vs 29) and goals (59 vs 41), while Debrecen II dominate attack (71 vs 29) and Poisson (76 vs 24). The tension between those two blocks of numbers is the central story: Debrecen II look capable of scoring heavily but vulnerable defensively, whereas Tiszafuredi look solid but limited going forward. Debrecen II's team analysis shows a home-heavy profile with three wins and one loss at home but no away wins, and their goals analysis confirms a 3.50 home scoring average against a 3.00 away conceding average, so their threat is concentrated at their own ground. Tiszafuredi's goals analysis is the mirror image, with just 0.60 goals scored per game overall and only 0.30 away from home, yet a 1.30 goals-against average and a 0.70 away figure that explains their defensive rating. Their last five results show three wins, including 2-1 over Nyiregyhaza II and 1-0 at Tarpa, but also a 4-0 defeat at Haladás VSE, so the recent form is positive without being convincing. Debrecen II's last five are more volatile, featuring a 5-2 home win over Eger and a 3-1 home win over Tiszaújváros alongside away losses of 4-2 at Cigand and 5-2 at Ózd, plus a 0-0 draw at Diósgyőr II. The head-to-head record leans toward Tiszafuredi, who won the most recent meeting 3-1 at home and also won 2-0 at Debrecen II in August 2025, although Debrecen II have won three of the ten listed encounters and the 2025 fixture was drawn 2-2. Taken together, the evidence supports the draw-or-away advice mainly through Tiszafuredi's defensive solidity and head-to-head edge, but the Poisson and attack metrics, plus Debrecen II's strong home scoring, are a real counterweight that keeps the home win probability low rather than negligible.

Predicted winner
Tiszafuredi VSE
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Tiszafuredi VSE
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorDebrecen IITiszafuredi VSE
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack71.0%29.0%
Defence29.0%71.0%
Poisson76.0%24.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals41.0%59.0%
Total48.3%51.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Debrecen II

Recent form: WLLDWLWL.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Tiszafuredi VSE

Recent form: LLLLLWWW.

Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Tiszafuredi VSE 1–3 Debrecen II (08 Mar 2026)
  2. Debrecen II 0–2 Tiszafuredi VSE (17 Aug 2025)
  3. Debrecen II 2–2 Tiszafuredi VSE (22 Mar 2025)
  4. Tiszafuredi VSE 3–1 Debrecen II (01 Sep 2024)
  5. Debrecen II 1–2 Tiszafuredi VSE (26 May 2024)
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