Netherlands · Eredivisie Women
De Graafschap W vs AZ W Prediction
· De Vijverberg
Match prediction
- The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities justify double chance despite AZ's stronger recent form.
- AZ's four straight wins preceded two heavy defeats, suggesting their form advantage may be fragile.
- De Graafschap's perfect failure-to-score record at home supports their attacking reliability in this fixture.
- AZ concede three goals per away game on average, undermining their defensive comparison edge.
- The Poisson metric strongly favors De Graafschap, reinforcing the home side's attacking potential.
- With no head-to-head history, the model relies on current-season metrics where home advantage and AZ's away defensive weakness balance the scales.
- Predicted winner
- De Graafschap W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : De Graafschap W or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | De Graafschap W | AZ W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
De Graafschap W
Recent form: LWLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
AZ W
Recent form: WWWWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.